Polymarket Trader

adrian58

0x478f4861ad1dbd60cc1729bbdbcadc1a032fdbb2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.41
Realized PnL: $138.73
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $37.41
Potential payout: $37.47
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $21.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.17

Magic position

Trail Blazers vs. Magic

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.23

Knicks position

Timberwolves vs. Knicks

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Solana reach $240 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.4%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.7%
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Tour Championship?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Yes 43% 37.47 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?

Yes 36.8% 17.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 17?

No 76% 15.5 shares
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings

Las Vegas Aces 59% 19.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?

No 68% 38.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 11?

Yes 42% 6.93 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?

Up 32% 34.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?

Yes 51.7% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Yes 37.4% 18.89 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?

Yes 71% 26.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?

No 63% 22.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 3?

No 63.2% 46.79 shares