Polymarket Trader

Lardzz

0x47902b3fe35b22fae03931bc41222c00683925b4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $379.94
Realized PnL: $3.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $71.1
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$27.9

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $130.02
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$130.01

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681.33
Potential profit: $681.33
User PnL: -$13.26

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $604.27
Potential profit: $604.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.75
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $122.49
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $377.48
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.66
Potential profit: $441.66
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.46
Potential profit: $411.46
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $387.4
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.36
Potential profit: $388.36
User PnL: -$24.35

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345
Potential profit: $345
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.24
Potential profit: $326.24
User PnL: -$51.22

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $265.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $274.31
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.53

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $265
User PnL: -$23.85

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.08

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.2

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.92

No position

Will Trump announce tariffs on Canada on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.84

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.73

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?

Ends Dec 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.25

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.65

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.53

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.38

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.89

Yes position

S&P500 all time high after election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?

Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

Algeria 33.5% 14.93 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 30.2% 16.53 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Austria 13.3% 37.74 shares
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Bosnia and Herzegovina 17% 29.41 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 12% 41.67 shares
Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 40.39 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 600 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 63% 15.87 shares