Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $22.74K
- Potential payout
- $25.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.65K
Polymarket Trader
tennisclub
0x479d647a0b3a55b87883ee7189ebb4f165b2d469
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.88K
- Realized PnL
- $744
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $23.1K
- Potential payout
- $23.46K
- Potential profit
- $363.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $561.51
- Potential payout
- $660.6
- Potential profit
- $99.09
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $56.29
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $472.96
- Potential payout
- $488.6
- Potential profit
- $15.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $245.93
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $371.48
No position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.03
No position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.85
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.27
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $35.41
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.71
No position
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.61
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 39.2% 5 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 85% 209.3 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 85% 211 shares
- Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 96.8% 206.77 shares
- Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 96.9% 272.23 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 97% 100 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 97.1% 107.8 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 96.8% 740.29 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 91% 20 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 90% 65 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 97.2% 578.3 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 37% 100 shares