No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $48.85K
- Potential payout
- $52.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $812.28
Polymarket Trader
bosshog
0x47ab026767cc320ac6e62f6ec747d59cf4d795df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $226.71K
- Realized PnL
- $139.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $41.02K
- Potential payout
- $41.12K
- Potential profit
- $102.81
- User PnL
- $102.81
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $27.86K
- Potential payout
- $31.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.55K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $24.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$24.06
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $19.7K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $300
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $468.09
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $12.45K
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $56.27
- User PnL
- $289.79
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.96K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- $362.06
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $10.14K
- Potential payout
- $11.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.93K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $8.92K
- Potential payout
- $8.96K
- Potential profit
- $40.31
- User PnL
- $37.63
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $7.7K
- Potential payout
- $7.74K
- Potential profit
- $42.58
- User PnL
- $164.46
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.73K
- Potential profit
- $6.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $257.4
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $154.83
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.06K
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $61.41
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $52.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$917.47
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- $209.78
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$174.99
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$287.49
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $184.85
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $40.81
N
No position
Will USA win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.44K
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $106.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.52
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.32K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $3.98K
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $263.11
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $925.38
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$609.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.15K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.05K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 635.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 1,000.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.6% 5,000 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.3% 3,000 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.6% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 19.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.6% 634.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 13,963.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 500 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.4% 505.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 25,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 2,000 shares