Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $138.3
- Potential payout
- $147.05
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $129.33
Polymarket Trader
0x47aC1828cf100fA9e216b73F8B9b54858B4cd28F-1770464727741
0x47ac1828cf100fa9e216b73f8b9b54858b4cd28f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.3
- Realized PnL
- $100.07
- Win rate
- 69.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.18
- Potential profit
- $108.18
- User PnL
- -$96.28
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.04
- Potential profit
- $106.04
- User PnL
- -$18.18
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.86
- Potential profit
- $68.86
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Islanders
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.42
Wizards position
Pacers vs. Wizards
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
Warriors position
Nuggets vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.85
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.3
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Nets
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Predators
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Kings position
Nets vs. Kings
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Heat position
Heat vs. Wizards
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Nuggets position
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.98
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Heat
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.89
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.49
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.79
Hornets position
Celtics vs. Hornets
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.59
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Pelicans
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.65
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Yes 6.1% 147.05 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 14% 68.86 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95.3% 63.37 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 89% 108.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 92% 117.57 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 85% 65.73 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No 88% 33.91 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 85% 77.96 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes 17.1% 106.04 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?No 16% 78.06 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?Yes 92% 59.54 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No 88% 55.16 shares