Polymarket Trader

JasonPunos

0x47ae6d13566c3418c4795c98ced1f197575eee94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.7K
Realized PnL: $25.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$33

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.99K
User PnL: -$4.18K

No position

Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$1.53K

No position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$1.84K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $198.13
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $152.92

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$1.06K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $11.2
User PnL: $149.26

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $840
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$121.99

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.8%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $886.24
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $470.61

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$1.22K

No position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$1.4K

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $252.45
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $838.04
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $645.48
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$8.42

No position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $924.38
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $111.92
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $19.58

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$642.66

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $942.79
Potential profit: $942.79
User PnL: -$151.11

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $128.5
Potential payout: $886.19
Potential profit: $757.69
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$53.29

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.95
Potential profit: $726.95
User PnL: -$23.99

Team Solid position

LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $663.93
Potential profit: $663.93
User PnL: -$118.86

Yes position

Will "The Grinch" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.19
Potential profit: $548.19
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $501.55
Potential payout: $539.02
Potential profit: $37.46
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $51.86

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.57
Potential profit: $471.57
User PnL: -$310.63

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.25
Potential profit: $454.25
User PnL: -$400.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $990.26

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $953.7

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.93

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $703.32

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.43

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $612.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.99

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.29

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $479.9

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.14

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.24

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.72

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.71

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 73% 100.16 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

No 89% 2,510.65 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 79% 5 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 79% 14.45 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 86.7% 420.59 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

No 94.5% 700 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

No 94% 20 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 72.8% 199.78 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 70% 50 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 73.1% 300 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

No 93.9% 1,648.76 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 75% 169.22 shares