Polymarket Trader

mswyng

0x47b742d46d10bf0a0388691f8b4c44adb9c6c5ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.53
Realized PnL: $2.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be above $5.00 in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$160.05

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $995.83
Potential profit: $995.83
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $4.5-4.75 in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $943.42
Potential profit: $943.42
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $793.7
Potential profit: $793.7
User PnL: -$40

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.22
Potential profit: $586.22
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.83
Potential profit: $558.83
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.31
Potential profit: $357.31
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $291.03
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.86
Potential profit: $289.86
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $27.4
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $261.06
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$122.6

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.16
Potential profit: $277.16
User PnL: -$14.74

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.61
Potential profit: $272.61
User PnL: -$131.56

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.23
Potential profit: $272.23
User PnL: -$15.24

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.63
Potential profit: $253.63
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $240.13
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$5.12

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $236.25
Potential profit: $227.89
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$28.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.48
Potential profit: $217.48
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.97
Potential profit: $212.97
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.19
Potential profit: $205.19
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.12
Potential profit: $199.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $193.44
Potential profit: $190.63
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.29

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.38

Yes position

Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.87

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.7

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.21

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.03

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.14

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.06

Pacers position

Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.9

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.44

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.95

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.11

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.49

Pacers position

Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.76

Yes position

Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.96

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.71

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.5% 131.57 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 29% 56.25 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 32% 156.25 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 88% 56.82 shares
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Yes 76% 52.63 shares
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

No 91.3% 14.86 shares
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?

Yes 7.5% 53.67 shares
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 5.6% 89.46 shares
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 21.9% 114.12 shares
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Yes 36% 41.67 shares
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

No 67.3% 14.86 shares