Polymarket Trader

Ferguson0500Turd

0x47bc4b50a8d0c4a07b22bfd949f9c6afb8aec043

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.17K
Realized PnL: $894.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.42K
Potential profit: $165.42K
User PnL: -$34.39K

Dolphins position

Dolphins vs. Bills

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.96K
Potential profit: $131.96K
User PnL: -$9.7K

Padres position

Padres vs. Cubs

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.53K
Potential profit: $94.53K
User PnL: -$6.31K

Rams position

49ers vs. Rams

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.8K
Potential profit: $65.8K
User PnL: -$34.11K

Rams position

Spread: Rams (-6.5)

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.38K
Potential profit: $37.38K
User PnL: -$22.05K

Bears position

Vikings vs. Bears

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$12.5K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$11.05K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.11K
User PnL: -$2.33K

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.52K
Potential profit: $10.52K
User PnL: -$141.66

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.23K
Potential payout: $10.23K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.37K

Yes position

Will Grok be the next CEO of X?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.81K
Potential profit: $6.81K
User PnL: -$355.56

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.11K
Potential profit: $5.11K
User PnL: -$2.26K

Bears position

Spread: Vikings (-1.5)

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.65K

No position

Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $106.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$146.44

No position

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$755.46

No position

Will David Sacks be the next CEO of X?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $670
Potential payout: $670
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.7

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$95.46

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.98
Potential profit: $110.98
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.06K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.97K

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.17K

Yes position

Biden drops out in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.14K

Rams position

Rams vs. 49ers

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.14K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.75K

Yes position

Will Biden drop out on July 21?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.07K

Yes position

Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Ends May 28, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.73K

Xavier position

Xavier vs. Texas

Ends Mar 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?

Ends Jul 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25K

Illinois position

Xavier vs. Illinois

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.63K

No position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.87K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1K

Kings position

Cavaliers vs. Kings

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25K

Yes position

Will Biden drop out by Monday?

Ends Jul 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.65K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.16K

Yes position

Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.47K

Yes position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.71K

Pacers position

Nets vs. Pacers

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.83K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.16K

Michigan position

Michigan vs. Texas A&M

Ends Mar 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02K

Bills position

Bills vs. Lions

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75K

No position

Kamala president by Friday?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.14K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

49ers vs. Rams

Rams 60% 800 shares
49ers vs. Rams

Rams 62% 70.42 shares
49ers vs. Rams

Rams 62.8% 3,190.1 shares
Spread: Rams (-6.5)

Rams 59% 37,284.75 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 3% 65,029.64 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 6% 500 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 5.8% 2,260.43 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 5% 1,720.8 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 16% 1,027 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 15% 1,294 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 15% 1,000 shares
Padres vs. Cubs

Padres 15% 1,254 shares