No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $661.15
- Potential payout
- $739.96
- Potential profit
- $78.81
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.4
Polymarket Trader
flquant
0x47bf27d762a1ed5a8abc5e08ffba994d0dc9c6bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.14K
- Realized PnL
- $488.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $481.45
- Potential payout
- $514.92
- Potential profit
- $33.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $42.05
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $386.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $13.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.6
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $85.99
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $14
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $85.1
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $87.51
- Potential profit
- $73.51
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$31.7
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $72.64
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $62.99
- Potential profit
- $37.79
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $7.56
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $51.72
- Potential payout
- $55.58
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $49.6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $37.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $39.89
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $29.04
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $27.59
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$16.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.97
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.99
No position
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.1
No position
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.9
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.92
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.32
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $12.81
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.16
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?No 51% 13 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?No 64% 10 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?No 58.6% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?No 50% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?No 53% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?No 49% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?No 50.4% 8 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 2?No 42% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?No 42.6% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?No 38% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 2?No 99.8% 18.71 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 2?No 28% 62.99 shares