Polymarket Trader

EVPRESET

0x47c1afba00d6ca63941d47bb68d0886eefa997ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.23K
Realized PnL: $66.81
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $98.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $901.5
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $944.5
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $65.49
Potential payout: $347.4
Potential profit: $281.92
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Current value: $247.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $52.35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $109.45
Potential payout: $235.37
Potential profit: $125.92
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$78.85

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $69.39
Potential payout: $183.81
Potential profit: $114.42
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $19.72
Potential payout: $171.52
Potential profit: $151.8
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$21.44

Yes position

Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $168.8
Potential profit: $168.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$78.91

Yes position

Will Ryan Lin be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $141.54
Potential profit: $140.05
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$26.82

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $38.7
Potential payout: $131.18
Potential profit: $92.48
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$25.58

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $51.01
Potential payout: $125.96
Potential profit: $74.95
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$5.67

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $83.31
Potential payout: $121.62
Potential profit: $38.31
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.3%
Current value: $80.2
Potential payout: $103.82
Potential profit: $23.62
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Verticality" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $95.04
Potential profit: $88.86
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$19.48

Yes position

Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $41.48
Potential payout: $81.33
Potential profit: $39.85
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$5.69

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $50.72
Potential payout: $79.88
Potential profit: $29.16
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the announcers say "Historic" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $36.29
Potential payout: $78.05
Potential profit: $41.76
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$13.66

No position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $46.92
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $22.08
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $17.19
Potential payout: $60.33
Potential profit: $43.14
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $17.02
Potential payout: $54.9
Potential profit: $37.88
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$6.59

Yes position

Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $29.06
Potential payout: $48.04
Potential profit: $18.98
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$11.29

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $34.05
Potential payout: $44.51
Potential profit: $10.46
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $17.08
Potential payout: $40.18
Potential profit: $23.11
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$7.03

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $30.59
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $12

Under position

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Ecuador position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Down 99% 21.29 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Down 99% 24.87 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Down 99% 69.67 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Up 99% 148.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Up 99% 65.11 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Up 99% 56.55 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Up 99% 70.69 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Up 99% 148.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Up 99% 118.41 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Down 99% 73.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Up 99% 118.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Up 99% 328.36 shares