Polymarket Trader

rousseauuu

@felacitybb

0x47c1c4d166c200e5455fca85d3b8f155f8f3825f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $81.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.16K
Potential profit: $131.16K
User PnL: -$3.16K

Yes position

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.9K
Potential profit: $121.9K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.16K
Potential profit: $80.16K
User PnL: -$893.95

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.77K
Potential profit: $71.77K
User PnL: -$444.99

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.67K
Potential profit: $39.67K
User PnL: -$961.12

No position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.64K
Potential profit: $28.64K
User PnL: -$3.72K

No position

Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.18K
Potential profit: $28.18K
User PnL: -$1.72K

No position

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.67K
Potential profit: $27.67K
User PnL: -$517.05

No position

Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.46K
Potential profit: $24.46K
User PnL: -$198.56

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.5K
User PnL: -$6.67K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.59K
Potential profit: $21.59K
User PnL: -$881.13

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.69K
Potential profit: $18.69K
User PnL: -$137.68

No position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.48K
Potential profit: $18.48K
User PnL: -$41.19

No position

Trudeau resigns before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.19K
Potential profit: $18.19K
User PnL: -$140.37

No position

zkSync airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.42K
Potential profit: $17.42K
User PnL: -$383.48

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $16.88K
User PnL: -$253.98

Yes position

Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.04K
Potential profit: $16.04K
User PnL: -$197.94

Yes position

No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.01K
Potential profit: $14.01K
User PnL: -$494.22

Yes position

Will the NDA win 300-325 seats?

Ends Jun 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.25K
Potential profit: $13.25K
User PnL: -$969.89

Yes position

Will Conservative Party win 155-169 seats in the next UK Election?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.2K
Potential profit: $13.2K
User PnL: -$454.2

No position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99K
Potential profit: $12.99K
User PnL: -$4.3K

No position

Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.91K
Potential profit: $12.91K
User PnL: -$336.62

Yes position

Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.51K
Potential profit: $12.51K
User PnL: -$152.45

No position

Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$662.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87K

No position

Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?

Ends Jun 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12K

Yes position

Will the NDA win less than 300 seats?

Ends Jun 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68K

No position

LayerZero airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.33K

Yes position

Labour wins 30-35% of votes?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64K

No position

Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11K

No position

Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will Fernanda Torres win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Solana above $145 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $936.99

No position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $841.1

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $791.56

No position

Will Trump say "tax" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.36

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.92

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652.98

No position

Will Berachain launch in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.41

Yes position

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.61

No position

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $394.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 2.8% 213.12 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 15.9% 264.87 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 28% 200 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 9% 100 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 4% 399.99 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 27% 80 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 27% 120 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 13% 400 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 13.3% 34.48 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 29.7% 53.42 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 33% 50 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 33% 50 shares