Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $259.61
- Potential payout
- $641
- Potential profit
- $381.4
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$37.82
Polymarket Trader
4Pixels
0x47c782fa5510d40794edef2d4f527a779a3119a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $259.61
- Realized PnL
- $879.66
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.01
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.23
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.97
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.71
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.44
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$15.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 46.4% 641 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 1,168.16 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 81% 256 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 95.4% 434.16 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 87% 256 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No 99.4% 353 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.1% 129 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 97.5% 363 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 97.3% 260 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 36% 903 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 99.5% 112 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 99.5% 763 shares