Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10AM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Ortolanus
0x47cf49f812c1fb5822a4009d76fbee5e843f4910
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5PM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$210
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7PM ET
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $963.62
- Potential profit
- $963.62
- User PnL
- -$168
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $828.85
- Potential profit
- $828.85
- User PnL
- -$28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $806.89
- Potential profit
- $806.89
- User PnL
- -$18.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $727.27
- Potential profit
- $727.27
- User PnL
- -$168
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.05
- Potential profit
- $631.05
- User PnL
- -$168
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12AM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $612.88
- Potential profit
- $612.88
- User PnL
- -$78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $607.92
- Potential profit
- $607.92
- User PnL
- -$156
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.47
- Potential profit
- $498.47
- User PnL
- -$75.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $492.68
- Potential profit
- $492.68
- User PnL
- -$126
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8PM ET
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $483.18
- Potential profit
- $483.18
- User PnL
- -$126
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3PM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.11
- Potential profit
- $473.11
- User PnL
- -$84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $471.78
- Potential profit
- $471.78
- User PnL
- -$45.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $453.94
- Potential profit
- $453.94
- User PnL
- -$72.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11AM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.57
- Potential profit
- $442.57
- User PnL
- -$126
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.57
- Potential profit
- $433.57
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9AM ET
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.33
- Potential profit
- $433.33
- User PnL
- -$39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4AM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.71
- Potential profit
- $430.71
- User PnL
- -$84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.17
- Potential profit
- $404.17
- User PnL
- -$126
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.44
- Potential profit
- $391.44
- User PnL
- -$18.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371.66
- Potential profit
- $371.66
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8PM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $362.51
- Potential profit
- $362.51
- User PnL
- -$117
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.36
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $373.08
No position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $313.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11PM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5PM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12AM ET
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8PM ET
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3PM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7PM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6AM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8PM ET
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2AM ET
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5AM ET
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp 40% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown 90% 262.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown 40.2% 262.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown 98% 112.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown 34% 112.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 98% 20.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 39% 10.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 39% 10.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp 15% 26.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETDown 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETDown 17% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETDown 24% 16.67 shares