Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.67K
- Potential profit
- $43.67K
- User PnL
- -$222.17
Polymarket Trader
CR.DON7
0x47e13c88f7679b0dbb6939ca4e140deb2407e621
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $402.12
- Realized PnL
- $892.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.43K
- User PnL
- -$261.19
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $553.61
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $450.23
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.88
- Potential profit
- $292.88
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $212.13
- Potential profit
- $209.69
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$28.76
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $6.16
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $115.79
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $6.64
- Potential payout
- $115.48
- Potential profit
- $108.84
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.89
- Potential profit
- $107.89
- User PnL
- -$40
Y
Yes position
Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $60.52
- Potential payout
- $107.13
- Potential profit
- $46.61
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $17.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Y
Yes position
Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $46.36
- Potential payout
- $98.63
- Potential profit
- $52.27
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $51.78
- Potential payout
- $88.52
- Potential profit
- $36.74
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $17.34
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $63.31
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.66
No position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Current value
- $63.16
- Potential payout
- $80.2
- Potential profit
- $17.04
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $61.13
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $74.54
- Potential profit
- $72.75
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $73.22
- Potential profit
- $73.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $35.81
- Potential payout
- $68.94
- Potential profit
- $33.13
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $10.81
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $66.37
- Potential profit
- $56.01
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- -$31.39
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $56.17
- Potential payout
- $64.94
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.17
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $15.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $46.56
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.53
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.21
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.95
Yes position
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.18
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.78
No position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.16
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.89
Yes position
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.25
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.68
Under position
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
No position
Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 2.3% 80.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 67% 17.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 93% 28.05 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 65% 38.46 shares
- Will Colombia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 1% 6.03 shares
- Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 64.7% 46.37 shares
- World Cup: Scoreless Team?No 1% 3.83 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 46 shares
- Will Cape Verde go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 0.2% 25.3 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 62.76 shares