No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $223.5
- Potential payout
- $224.63
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- $23.5
Polymarket Trader
DEMFI
0x47e653c83ef04eebbf4614a4493c8d246dc1c039
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.35K
- Realized PnL
- $1.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $176.92
- Potential payout
- $219.78
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$23.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.51
- Potential profit
- $217.51
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $217.28
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $17.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $215.57
- Potential payout
- $215.67
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $15.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $214.57
- Potential payout
- $215.65
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $19.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.86
- Potential profit
- $214.86
- User PnL
- -$192.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.17
- Potential profit
- $207.17
- User PnL
- -$183.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.04
- Potential profit
- $207.04
- User PnL
- -$194.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.16
- Potential profit
- $205.16
- User PnL
- -$186.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.69
- Potential profit
- $194.69
- User PnL
- -$176.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.25
- Potential profit
- $190.25
- User PnL
- -$172.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.55
- Potential profit
- $187.55
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.53
- Potential profit
- $186.53
- User PnL
- -$173.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.11
- Potential profit
- $171.11
- User PnL
- -$54.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.38
- Potential profit
- $166.38
- User PnL
- -$65.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.59
- Potential profit
- $160.59
- User PnL
- -$147.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.19
- Potential profit
- $159.19
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $157.23
- Potential payout
- $158.18
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.45
- Potential profit
- $155.45
- User PnL
- -$142.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $144.49
- Potential payout
- $144.56
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $16.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.4
- Potential profit
- $143.4
- User PnL
- -$130.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 17?No 91.6% 208.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?No 95.2% 25.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 18?No 92.2% 58.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 18?No 93.8% 25.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 18?No 89% 224.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?No 91% 219.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?No 73.5% 54.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 18?No 90.1% 50.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 18?No 94.3% 53.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?No 85.1% 30.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?No 95% 105.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 18?No 93.1% 69.85 shares