Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $73.81
- Potential payout
- $147.61K
- Potential profit
- $147.54K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
Polymarket Trader
123z
0x47e6d461c40169233b41ea6cdad6b6cb8126fd61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.42K
- Realized PnL
- $8.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $579.15
- Potential payout
- $77.22K
- Potential profit
- $76.64K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.08K
- Potential profit
- $76.08K
- User PnL
- -$8.62K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.07K
- Potential profit
- $56.07K
- User PnL
- -$7K
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $743.73
- Potential payout
- $47.98K
- Potential profit
- $47.24K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$398.45
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.08
- Potential payout
- $46.16K
- Potential profit
- $46.14K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$526.84
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.03K
- Potential profit
- $46.03K
- User PnL
- -$529.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.44K
- Potential profit
- $29.44K
- User PnL
- -$422.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.19K
- Potential profit
- $16.19K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38K
- Potential profit
- $15.38K
- User PnL
- -$2.22K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$640.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.83K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$612.1
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.96
No position
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.57
No position
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $534.26
No position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.46
Yes position
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.43
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.13
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.07
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $286.04
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.07
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.54
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.44
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.57
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199.96
Yes position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199.19
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.6
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.41
No position
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.41
Over position
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.68
No position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
Yes position
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.14
Over position
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Over position
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 968.8 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 1,974.68 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 1,220 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 1,520 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 1,055 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 30.67 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 146 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 146 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 246 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 146 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 905 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 201 shares