No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $8.28
Polymarket Trader
ainsleytrey2947
0x47e893519915fabebbf8f1355e48bc4aa20121ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.31
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $8.28
Yes position
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 84% 30 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 69% 80 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96.2% 64 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 95.7% 64 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.5% 19 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.5% 19 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 63 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 138 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1.2% 67 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1.2% 157 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 98.8% 13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 62% 92 shares