Polymarket Trader

wall1

0x47f0eaf0561aa605dbdf9d6abc5bb1f111e58dfd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.3K
Realized PnL: $728.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $395.09
Potential payout: $413.49
Potential profit: $18.4
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $262.14
Potential payout: $299.59
Potential profit: $37.45
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$10.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $280.7
Potential payout: $294.7
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $247
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $116.61
Potential payout: $149.69
Potential profit: $33.08
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $60.24
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.03

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $142.66

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.06

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.77

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.84

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.01

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $12.2

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $7.01

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Over position

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.6% 39.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 99% 250 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 200 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 200 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 200 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.8% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.9% 200 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 94.8% 100 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 200 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 200 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.2% 200 shares