Y
Yes position
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.83
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Polymarket Trader
KoalaX-
0x47faeba019b478162ae5e1894bbfe8c9960ba797
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.58
- Realized PnL
- $2.61
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Y
Yes position
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Y
Yes position
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Morocco leading at halftime?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Karmine Corp position
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
QoR position
Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Fuego position
Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffs
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 16% 15 shares
- Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 18% 15 shares
- Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 18% 15 shares
- Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 23% 15 shares
- Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 23% 15 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 29.4% 15 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 50.1% 15 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 50.2% 15 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 32.8% 15 shares
- Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsQoR 93% 10.75 shares
- Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: PlayoffsFuego 96% 10.42 shares
- Morocco leading at halftime?No 91% 10.99 shares