Polymarket Trader

tiwang

0x47fcfb4264d502d6cbd952df9b48be6e01189d8f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.89
Realized PnL: $12.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $13.25
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $5.11
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $3.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $3.9
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.66
Potential payout: $3.66
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55
Potential profit: $2.55
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.29

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $1.73
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Kings

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Eintracht Spandau position

LoL: Team Phantasma vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group H

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 19?

Yes 86.5% 1.14 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 83.7% 1.19 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 16% 6.25 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.8% 5.95 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 97.6% 10.25 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Gen.G 68% 3.64 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 69% 3.62 shares
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

No 67% 3.88 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?

Yes 87% 2.47 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 67% 3.91 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Yes 61% 2.55 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?

Yes 90% 3.3 shares