896330449

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.57
Potential profit: $486.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $260.51
Potential profit: $260.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $84.48
Potential profit: $84.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $67.91
Potential profit: $67.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64.27
Potential profit: $64.24
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.89
Potential profit: $56.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $50.48
Potential profit: $50.27
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.3
Potential profit: $34.3
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.22
Potential profit: $15.22
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 87°F or below on July 17?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.03
Potential profit: $13.03
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.15
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $10.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $21.49

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Paraguay position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?