Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $22.09
- Potential profit
- $19.66
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Polymarket Trader
sebbmar
0x48001ca67a80ffcc198e7bb9be6596e02cb18159
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.43
- Realized PnL
- $39.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.6
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Panathinaikos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 9% 22.09 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 15% 21.78 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes 34% 12.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 12% 10.66 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 56% 7.82 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 19% 10.66 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes 42% 12.11 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 68% 7.82 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 17% 21.78 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes 16% 14.86 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes 21% 14.86 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 8% 104.36 shares