Polymarket Trader

Toto46661

0x48056f1c0790c2c8f9717c7b9d4b2cb81299d00b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $80.27
Realized PnL: $185.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Pacers position

Trail Blazers vs. Pacers

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$170

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $30.59
Potential payout: $32.64
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

Suns position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48
Potential profit: $1.48
User PnL: -$0.99

INTZ position

Valorant: TBK Esports vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffs

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

76ers position

Grizzlies vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Passion UA position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - FRAG Playoffs

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Zhuoxuan Bai position

Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Jiajing Lu

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

76ers position

Bulls vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

No 53% 1.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 83% 1.2 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.9% 2.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?

Yes 33.5% 50 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Yes 84% 2.38 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 5.38 shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

Arizona Diamondbacks 97% 1.03 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Jiajing Lu

Zhuoxuan Bai 88% 1.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Down 86% 1.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Down 99% 1.01 shares
Huzhou: Carol Zhao vs Katarzyna Kawa

Katarzyna Kawa 98.9% 1.01 shares