Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.95K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.95K
Polymarket Trader
Liquidifier
0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.1K
- Realized PnL
- $4.73M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.85K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.85K
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.32K
- Potential profit
- $60.32K
- User PnL
- -$7.54K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.77K
- Potential profit
- $56.77K
- User PnL
- -$7.1K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.83K
- Potential profit
- $55.83K
- User PnL
- -$6.98K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.5K
- Potential profit
- $55.5K
- User PnL
- -$6.94K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.77K
- Potential profit
- $52.77K
- User PnL
- -$6.6K
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $255.18
- Potential payout
- $30.02K
- Potential profit
- $29.77K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$114.05
Yes position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $198
- Potential payout
- $26.4K
- Potential profit
- $26.2K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $26.32
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $187.58
- Potential payout
- $15.01K
- Potential profit
- $14.82K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.74
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.92K
- Potential profit
- $14.92K
- User PnL
- -$14.92
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $183.62
- Potential payout
- $13.6K
- Potential profit
- $13.42K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$150.85
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $84.3
- Potential payout
- $11.24K
- Potential profit
- $11.16K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$40.62
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $91.51
- Potential payout
- $10.77K
- Potential profit
- $10.67K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42K
- Potential profit
- $10.42K
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Yes position
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $35.7
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $10.16K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $65.78
- Potential payout
- $10.12K
- Potential profit
- $10.05K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.02K
- Potential payout
- $10.03K
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- User PnL
- $626.96
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$87.85
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.94K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $949.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $700.04
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $7.46K
- Potential payout
- $8.31K
- Potential profit
- $843.28
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8M
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.63K
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.2K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.55K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $247.83K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.48K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.04K
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.59K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $79.5K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.01K
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.28K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.93K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.83K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.13K
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.22K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.1K
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.3K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.76K
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.11K
Down position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.24K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.62K
No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.22K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.42K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.57K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.15K
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.47K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.31K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.07K
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.28K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.49K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19K
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $16.53K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.43K
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.28K
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.05K
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77K
No position
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.52K
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.46K
No position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.69K
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57K
Prairie View A&M Panthers position
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12K
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?
Ends Apr 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.11K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19K
No position
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.01K
No position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10K
Yes position
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.79K
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 6,790.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 3,401.95 shares
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 17?Up 55% 272 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 17?Up 49% 40 shares
- Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 17?Up 47% 19.99 shares
- Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 17?Up 46% 150 shares
- Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 17?Down 54% 6 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 16?Up 99.9% 1,600 shares
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes 0.3% 10.1 shares
- Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?Yes 3.1% 198.54 shares
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 16?Down 65.9% 108.8 shares
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 16?Up 66% 200 shares