No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $70.21
Polymarket Trader
TillMz02
0x4821866e7cddd2ede5888f4a7cb4b1afc7faa754
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.77K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.31K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785.27
Yes position
Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.86
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.54
Jones position
Jones vs. Miocic
Ends Nov 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.51
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Matt" or "Gaetz" during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$71.67
No position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$403.84
No position
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$699.61
Yes position
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Yes position
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $3,400 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No 61% 2,787.73 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?No 64.7% 3,617.99 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 90.5% 2,340.91 shares
- Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?Yes 51.2% 4,134.97 shares
- Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?Yes 83.6% 4,134.98 shares
- Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?No 51% 2,552.02 shares
- Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?No 78.4% 2,552.03 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $3,400 in December?No 66.6% 2,252.11 shares
- Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes 50.3% 4,671.68 shares
- Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes 66.1% 5,000 shares
- Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes 48.4% 9,671.69 shares
- Will Trump say "Matt" or "Gaetz" during NBC interview?Yes 22% 1,035.76 shares