Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
TheTrader1212
0x4821f344d442e830e6738430d6f42c1762026ab1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147.8
- Realized PnL
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $259.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.99
- Potential profit
- $244.99
- User PnL
- -$42.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.7%
- Current value
- $67.41
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $102.6
- Multiplier
- 2.52x
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.6
- Potential profit
- $165.6
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $145.05
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $16.23
- Potential payout
- $141.11
- Potential profit
- $124.88
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$9.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.33
- Potential profit
- $113.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.67
- Potential profit
- $111.67
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.35
- Potential profit
- $109.35
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.33
- Potential profit
- $100.33
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.82
- Potential profit
- $98.82
- User PnL
- -$16.4
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $15.97
- Potential payout
- $96.78
- Potential profit
- $80.81
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$14.03
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$28.27
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $87.26
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.99
- Potential profit
- $89.99
- User PnL
- -$10.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.59
- Potential profit
- $82.59
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.99
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.01
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $45.66
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.22
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.94
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.49
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.8% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.9% 40 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 37.1% 170 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes 92.3% 60 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 70 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.6% 40 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 80 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.7% 49.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 3.7% 29.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 93% 50 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 64.6% 27.55 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 37.8% 37.34 shares