Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $175.37
- Potential payout
- $746.27
- Potential profit
- $570.9
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $50.38
Polymarket Trader
0x4829de4BB17462B69B7A942026166f9CCAA75d66-1782640115018
0x4829de4bb17462b69b7a942026166f9ccaa75d66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $175.37
- Realized PnL
- $2.7
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 64.71 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 53.33 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 70.8% 6.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 77% 6.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 50% 13.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 38% 13.16 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 59.7% 1.53 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35% 11.11 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36% 5.56 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No 54% 3.57 shares