Winry

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $166.67K
Potential profit: $165.58K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $916.66
Potential payout: $166.67K
Potential profit: $165.75K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $83.33

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.14K
Potential payout: $139.76K
Potential profit: $136.62K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $70.02

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $90.46K
Potential profit: $88.97K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$67.03

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $41.84K
Potential profit: $40.78K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $14.48

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$3.05K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $203.76
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.47K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $3.53

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.42K
Potential profit: $8.42K
User PnL: -$1.84K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.3K
User PnL: -$64.5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$45.69

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $16.88
User PnL: $60.24

Heroic position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.56K

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$1.39K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
User PnL: -$355.8

Lynn Vision position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$143.72

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$81.56

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$30.57

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$240.21

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$732.41

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $91.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $908.5
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: -$0.5

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$120

Dragon Ranger Gaming position

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$170

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $967.37
Potential profit: $967.37
User PnL: -$19.35

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $710.86
Potential profit: $710.86
User PnL: -$201.22

Dplus KIA position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$371

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.2
Potential profit: $649.2
User PnL: -$2.25

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606.09
Potential profit: $606.09
User PnL: -$89.75

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.1%
Current value: $186.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $413.7
Multiplier: 3.22x
User PnL: $125.6

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$39.6

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.49
Potential profit: $539.49
User PnL: -$366.85

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.61
Potential profit: $517.61
User PnL: -$128.16

Dynamo Esports position

Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516
Potential profit: $516
User PnL: -$247.27

JD Gaming position

Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$223.25

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$126

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.75
Potential profit: $497.75
User PnL: -$141.42

INTZ e-Sports position

LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $489
Potential profit: $489
User PnL: -$324.96

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $230.68
Potential payout: $485.65
Potential profit: $254.97
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$62.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $26.15
Potential payout: $471.21
Potential profit: $445.06
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $16.62

No position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $411.7
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $48.3
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $11.8

T1 Academy position

Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.48
Potential profit: $412.48
User PnL: -$171.96

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.5
Potential profit: $409.5
User PnL: -$291.03

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409
Potential profit: $409
User PnL: -$257.67

Dplus KIA Challengers position

LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.2
Potential profit: $404.2
User PnL: -$177.85

Estral Esports position

LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$344

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.2

BNK FearX Youth position

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$120

ex-HEROIC position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$112

FALKE Esports position

LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$56

KRÜ Esports position

Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$304

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $160.09K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.15K

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.62K

Yes position

Will someone else be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.53K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.97K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32K

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.66

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $769.25

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.51

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $596.62

Yes position

Solana all time high by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $577.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $528.2

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.64

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $441.5

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.74

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.19

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $393.29

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384

No position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.89

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.77

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.92

Insomnia position

Valorant: Riddle vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.98

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $302.31

No position

Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.38

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.2

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.74

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.64

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.85

PCIFIC position

LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $247.77

DN SOOPers Challengers position

LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

LGD Gaming position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.98

TYLOO position

Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.55

Barcząca Esports position

LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.03

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $198

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.78

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?