Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $171.02
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $965.34
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $21.02
Polymarket Trader
0x48333884F612C9D76d3533561504144bAA4874Bf-1778550952274
0x48333884f612c9d76d3533561504144baa4874bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $262.9
- Realized PnL
- $880.94
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $388.7
- Potential profit
- $388.7
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.7%
- Current value
- $90.81
- Potential payout
- $247.44
- Potential profit
- $156.63
- Multiplier
- 2.72x
- User PnL
- $33.81
Under position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.52
- Potential profit
- $206.52
- User PnL
- -$95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.1
- Potential profit
- $192.1
- User PnL
- -$41.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.74
- Potential profit
- $178.74
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $163.83
- Potential profit
- $162.76
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$13.94
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.37
- Potential profit
- $161.37
- User PnL
- -$22.43
Algeria position
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- User PnL
- -$55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.31
- Potential profit
- $132.31
- User PnL
- -$98.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.65
- Potential profit
- $126.65
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.79
- Potential profit
- $125.79
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.36
- Potential profit
- $111.36
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.87
- Potential profit
- $85.87
- User PnL
- -$47.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.35
- Potential profit
- $72.35
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.09
- Potential profit
- $67.09
- User PnL
- -$46.96
Yes position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $60.98
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.98
- Potential profit
- $5.98
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $858.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.45
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.08
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
Egypt position
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.58
Canada position
Spread: Canada (-3.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Juan Manuel Cerundolo position
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.48
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.94
Ecuador position
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.71
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.22
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 9.2% 163.83 shares
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Algeria 40% 137.5 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.2% 1,136.36 shares
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel CerundoloJuan Manuel Cerundolo 20% 115 shares
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt 99.9% 75.75 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 13.9% 161.37 shares
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt 33% 75.76 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 18% 302.44 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreYes 41% 60.98 shares
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada 99.9% 77.31 shares
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada 64.7% 77.32 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 47% 80.3 shares