Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
0x4842...6503
0x4842f3379d2c872d3a305a6f52bbaf6ab01c6503
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.34
- Realized PnL
- $8.55
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $7.77
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 37% 5.41 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99% 5.37 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.7% 5.99 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.2% 8.62 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 93% 5.38 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 6.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.5% 9.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.6% 9.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.3% 9.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 9.22 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.7% 5.52 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.5% 5.52 shares