Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $35.46
- Potential payout
- $754.39
- Potential profit
- $718.93
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Polymarket Trader
0x484a...52c9
0x484ad890f655f99d3b60287cfb9450ba25b452c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $197.4
- Realized PnL
- -$14.19
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $127.16
- Potential payout
- $660.56
- Potential profit
- $533.4
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $34.79
- Potential payout
- $644.22
- Potential profit
- $609.43
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $5.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $114.14
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.63
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.39
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.83
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$5.62
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.17
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$8.54
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$8.67
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$9.69
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.43
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.75
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$45.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.4% 660.56 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 5.2% 754.39 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.6% 644.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 1,037.64 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 1,037.64 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 39.7% 974.92 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 40.6% 974.92 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 89% 569.97 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.7% 551.91 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 95.7% 19.83 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 4.9% 1,066.99 shares
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No 93% 536.88 shares