Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.09M
- Potential profit
- $1.08M
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.25K
Polymarket Trader
0x485a2E9AD89D9109BB4d37b925bA60f6350421cB-1768423550172
0x485a2e9ad89d9109bb4d37b925ba60f6350421cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.44K
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.19K
- Potential profit
- $302.19K
- User PnL
- -$5.99K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $15.96K
- Potential payout
- $167.96K
- Potential profit
- $152K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.77K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $552.58
- Potential payout
- $157.88K
- Potential profit
- $157.33K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$851.77
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $496.95
- Potential payout
- $66.26K
- Potential profit
- $65.76K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.1K
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.68K
- Potential profit
- $63.68K
- User PnL
- -$3.32K
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $429.04
- Potential payout
- $61.29K
- Potential profit
- $60.86K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.4K
- Potential profit
- $46.4K
- User PnL
- -$818.06
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $16.84K
- Potential profit
- $15.58K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$859.3
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $832.34
- Potential payout
- $15.13K
- Potential profit
- $14.3K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$377.42
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.72K
- Potential profit
- $12.72K
- User PnL
- -$549.41
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $196.16
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$565.64
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$261
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $643.44
- Potential profit
- $643.44
- User PnL
- -$46.97
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.65
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.79
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$38.4
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.67
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$231.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$265.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$278.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$284.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$341.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$394.84
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$452.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$549.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$549.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$625.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 15,277.23 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 545,789.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 11% 3,450 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 8% 60 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1% 49,990.77 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 1.5% 1,405 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.9% 67,553.24 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.9% 10,026.93 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 8% 542 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 11% 11,961 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 8% 60 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 8% 4,381.12 shares