Polymarket Trader

Emberwrait

0x48657f8890e75e94e4c993b488cbd0c838b933d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.46
Realized PnL: $456.71
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.49
Potential profit: $21.49
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $16.46
Potential payout: $17.68
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 96.1% 17.68 shares
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 90% 18.27 shares
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 93% 18.28 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Over 60% 1,166.67 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 972.22 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 972.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 23% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 78% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 93% 6 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

No 78% 10 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Magic 23% 20.98 shares