Polymarket Trader

0x486d36991c72e90c038Df6d25670e71867c00cdc-1764701801902

0x486d36991c72e90c038df6d25670e71867c00cdc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: -$285.1
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $599.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.4K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $109.51

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $138
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.86K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $97.13
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $543.13
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $62.33
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $387.68
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$9.67

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.2
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $78
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $322
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $87.12
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $64.39
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$12.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.21

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$63.47

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$69.5

Yes position

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$75.07

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$134.72

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$160

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 3% 8.87 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 400 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 450 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 4,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 550 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 1,850 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 76.9% 256.41 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Yes 3.7% 668 shares
US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Yes 1.5% 309.09 shares
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 1,303.48 shares
US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Yes 22% 309.09 shares