Polymarket Trader

sirim254

0x4878f91581c7db8b3c7f91d7c689356430fddfac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.97
Realized PnL: $531.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $90.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $15.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $75.54
Potential profit: $60.24
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $12.17
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.83
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23.3% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.4% 75.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 75% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 68% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 76% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 0.9% 26.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 10.1% 24.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 32.4% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 18.8% 8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 18.2% 42.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 10% 100 shares