Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $205.64
- Potential payout
- $697.08
- Potential profit
- $491.44
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$59.24
Polymarket Trader
perezpaya
0x4889fa560a438b2bca84e6345cd143a3290f21a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $205.64
- Realized PnL
- -$531.56
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Spain snap election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.63
- Potential profit
- $66.63
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.73
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Yes position
Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
Topuria position
Topuria vs. Holloway
Ends Oct 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.04
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.05
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epstein" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Alcaraz position
Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
Ends Jan 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.56
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.62
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.84
Yes position
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.06
Rublev position
ATP Finals: Alcaraz vs. Rublev
Ends Nov 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.23
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?
Ends Oct 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$198.03
Yes position
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$405.9
Serrano position
Taylor vs. Serrano
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$858.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goals AND Luis Díaz: 2+ goals5% 389 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 25% 60 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?3.3% 290.72 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 17.09 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 20.5 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2025?Yes 37.2% 66.63 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 10% 248.27 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 18% 248.28 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. DjokovicAlcaraz 12% 138 shares
- Will Barcelona win La Liga?No 80% 20 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?No 0.2% 280 shares