Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $107
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
thenameofthrone
0x488befba5d1d2df1d554ddf13ab02d43ac3a8f4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.69
- Win rate
- 95.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic CEO arrested?No 98.6% 100 shares
- StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 83% 79.98 shares
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No 97.8% 26 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 10 shares