Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $65.03
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $19.05
Polymarket Trader
WeatherHK
0x488c725253fc21c7a9ca812030dc2f6343f98c1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.58K
- Realized PnL
- $24.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $22.75
- Potential payout
- $771.04
- Potential profit
- $748.29
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $37.36
- Potential payout
- $747.2
- Potential profit
- $709.84
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $15.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $210.77
- Potential payout
- $714.49
- Potential profit
- $503.72
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $42.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $574.17
- Potential profit
- $557.23
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $12.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $25.78
- Potential payout
- $303.32
- Potential profit
- $277.54
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $25.35
- Potential payout
- $281.62
- Potential profit
- $256.27
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $245.87
- Potential payout
- $247.11
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $213.04
- Potential payout
- $218.72
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $104.11
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $94.16
- Potential payout
- $158.26
- Potential profit
- $64.1
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.93
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $19.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $91.95
- Potential payout
- $92.04
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $29.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $56.88
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $57.97
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $51.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.4
- Potential payout
- $45.42
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $44.26
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $36.42
- Potential payout
- $38.36
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $15.99
No position
Will Hong Kong have less than 350mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.99
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.99
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $13.21
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $11.6
- Potential payout
- $16.94
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $15.73
- Potential payout
- $15.78
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $998
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $997.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $676.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $438.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $424.49
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.47
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?No 98% 45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 18?Yes 2.8% 837 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?No 12% 58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?Yes 81% 133.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 18?Yes 3.2% 711.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?Yes 3% 747.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?Yes 0.1% 280.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 83% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?No 99.2% 10.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?No 82.6% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 78.4% 244.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 86% 40 shares