No position
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.33
- Potential profit
- $23.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
1120548585
0x4892165aa2933068db896381b1c8c9c064dab8ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.53
- Realized PnL
- $33.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.99
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $11.89
- Potential payout
- $12.06
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $12.02
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $12.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $10.21
- Potential payout
- $11.34
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $11.18
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Stefano Napolitano position
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitano
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.18
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Team Nemesis position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- User PnL
- -$1
Harry Wendelken position
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuel
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
B8 position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.87
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- User PnL
- -$1
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $1.42
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 12 above $215?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.7% 13.04 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.9% 12.01 shares
- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.8% 12.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 97% 11.34 shares
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.6% 10.04 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.5% 12.06 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 98.4% 11.18 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 30?Yes 99.8% 12.02 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29?Yes 99.9% 11.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.9% 13.61 shares