Polymarket Trader

loggeng

0x48ae2a999cc0404027e3b6f45ae5bbeb9af9a5c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.71
Realized PnL: -$485.25
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.26K
Potential profit: $43.26K
User PnL: -$406.25

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.37K
Potential profit: $36.37K
User PnL: -$150.63

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.7K
Potential profit: $20.7K
User PnL: -$56.21

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.11K
Potential profit: $20.11K
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.55K
Potential profit: $16.55K
User PnL: -$520.39

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.53K
Potential profit: $7.53K
User PnL: -$97.92

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $43.26
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$193

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.93K
User PnL: -$148.07

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $31.9
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$15.99

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$97.32

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$53.52

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$98.19

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$96.45

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$119.37

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $851.67
Potential profit: $851.67
User PnL: -$97.06

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.33
Potential profit: $221.33
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.77
Potential profit: $208.77
User PnL: -$10.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.09

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$36.68

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$64.48

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.25

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$291.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.5% 691.33 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 5,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.4% 515.12 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 1,902.5 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 1,538.46 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 268.75 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 2,917.85 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2% 1,156.29 shares