Y
Yes position
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $64.03
Polymarket Trader
grefdd
0x48b787463849c84467e0cda8a156a5617b5f6d53
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $320.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.79
N
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $43.52
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $41.81
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $34.07
Y
Yes position
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
Ends Aug 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $14.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $64.03
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.79
N
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $43.52
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $41.81
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $34.07
Y
Yes position
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
Ends Aug 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $14.48
Y
Yes position
Will Daisies be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $10.68
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Y
Yes position
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
Ends Aug 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $7.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will Solana dip to $120 December 29-January 4?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes 48.9% 71.18 shares
- Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes 52.4% 809.71 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 11.7% 1,293.72 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No 20.2% 173.98 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No 20.3% 708.95 shares
- Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes 35.7% 474.68 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No 23.7% 60.1 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No 26.3% 567.1 shares
- Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes 37% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 20.8% 346.9 shares
- Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes 39.5% 585.42 shares
- Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes 40.7% 107 shares