No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.46K
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $11.17
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Polymarket Trader
loafy
@loafy0
0x48b7e95cef1270aa22760d069f8f0fe14be5f103
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.97K
- Realized PnL
- $14.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.91K
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $271.89
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- User PnL
- -$60.16
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $963.93
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$112.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- User PnL
- $695.9
Yes position
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $315
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $751.8
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $88.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $147
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $725.83
- Potential payout
- $815.54
- Potential profit
- $89.71
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $93.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $172.27
- Potential payout
- $749.01
- Potential profit
- $576.74
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$280.28
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $543.65
- Potential payout
- $667.14
- Potential profit
- $123.49
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $48.16
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $303.74
- Potential payout
- $351.14
- Potential profit
- $47.4
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $56.35
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $284.72
- Potential payout
- $318.12
- Potential profit
- $33.4
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $15.12
- Potential payout
- $189
- Potential profit
- $173.88
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$9.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $92.26
- Potential payout
- $92.54
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $26.56
No position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.7
- Potential payout
- $15.14
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $935.9
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.55
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680
No position
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $666.42
No position
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.09
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.25
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.42
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.57
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.61
Yes position
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.7
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.19
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.17
No position
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.03
No position
Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.05
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.46
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.81
No position
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.6
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.28
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.14
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.02
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 13% 189 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 59% 141.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?No 71% 92.54 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes 0.9% 1,113.89 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes 2.5% 400 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 76% 667.14 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 1,899.97 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes 2.6% 1,160 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 62% 56.6 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 75% 400 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 74% 895.47 shares