Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
fredi16
0x48d1c555ac0ded84909332edf89fd227eb8accd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.61
- Realized PnL
- $40.24
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.68
- Potential profit
- $138.68
- User PnL
- -$38.49
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $18.35
- Potential profit
- $17.73
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Yes position
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals33.6% 28.89 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?Yes 27.8% 138.68 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 44% 45.45 shares
- Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?No 99.1% 15.76 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 0.9% 55.55 shares
- Will the US strike Iran next?Yes 0.5% 83.33 shares
- Will the US strike Iran next?Yes 2.4% 83.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?Yes 57% 5.26 shares
- Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?No 80% 15.76 shares
- Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?Yes 76.3% 26.21 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares