Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
VampireGarden
0x48d9c877d58784eb203ee95a13a31ddf8f4774c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.5
- Realized PnL
- $5.13
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 50 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98% 48.98 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?Yes 95.9% 7.3 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?Yes 82.8% 9.66 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?Yes 44% 11.36 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Yes 9.1% 10.98 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?Yes 98.9% 21.23 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 98.1% 21.38 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 98.2% 21.38 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.7% 21.78 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.4% 21.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 22.34 shares