Polymarket Trader

xyzdfu

0x48de4dab51fa67334e74b5a4d341cd4613232c40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.69
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.01K
Potential profit: $85.01K
User PnL: -$323.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $170.44
Potential profit: $169.67
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.09

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $72.59
Potential profit: $72.26
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$46.73

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.6
Potential profit: $63.6
User PnL: -$10.81

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.95
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.5
Potential profit: $55.5
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.7%
Current value: $34.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.67
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $27.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $7.94
Potential payout: $44.13
Potential profit: $36.19
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$7.13

Yes position

Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.6

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

Wizards position

Magic vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.12

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.85

Bucks position

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.75

Mavericks position

Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.9

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Jazz position

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Over position

Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?

No 6.4% 25.95 shares
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 13% 30 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 19% 20 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 13% 20 shares
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Yes 11% 30 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Yes 35% 0.3 shares
Will Spain finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 0.6% 125.86 shares
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 95.4% 9.9 shares
Will Spain finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 0.5% 125.86 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 92% 50 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Yes 90% 50 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 8% 10 shares