Polymarket Trader

notabi

0x48f3fb21d33d38c29ff7a6724fb101c0e4bf104f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $507.27
Realized PnL: $15.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.44K
Potential profit: $24.44K
User PnL: -$51.09

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $77.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$34.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$892.95

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $388.43
Potential payout: $494.81
Potential profit: $106.38
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $12.37

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $308.23
Potential profit: $297.6
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.64
Potential profit: $288.64
User PnL: -$8.66

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $26.65
Potential payout: $253.82
Potential profit: $227.17
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $135.83
Potential profit: $132.5
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.76
Potential profit: $83.76
User PnL: -$5.86

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.24
Potential profit: $30.24
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $3.47
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will POPCAT reach $1b first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34K

No position

Was Barron involved in $DJT?

Ends Jun 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.23

No position

Maduro out before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.44

Yes position

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.21

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Bills

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.88

Heat position

Heat vs. Hawks

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.55

No position

Biden drops out by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.75

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.92

Yes position

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.08

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.77

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.1

Yes position

>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.64

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.68

No position

Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.54

Yes position

Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.29

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.73

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.52

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.85

No position

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.28

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.8

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 76% 494.81 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

No 3.9% 308.23 shares
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?

Yes 2% 1.76 shares
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?

Yes 2.9% 137.59 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 100,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 28,325.33 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 8,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 69,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 8,888 shares
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 93.7% 5.07 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 3,000 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

No 47% 11.06 shares