Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $20.88
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Polymarket Trader
0x48fe...e72b
0x48feb08f5f7c0e1f722d42f43172f7c2c249e72b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $50.12
- Realized PnL
- $5.73
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $12.76
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $8.19
- Potential profit
- $3.52
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $7.62
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $6.84
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 39% 3 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 59% 8.19 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 65% 7.62 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 75% 6.84 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 57% 8.65 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 20% 25 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Yes 47% 3 shares
- Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes 41% 8 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 76% 6.08 shares
- Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 48% 9.25 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 68% 7.1 shares