Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
Gumper
0x4904c7ffd87ab686568d71c7b4f5d68586ea65f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.32K
- Realized PnL
- $534.78
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $141.67
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $41.67
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $148.98
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $874.96
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- $28.98
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $91.46
- Potential payout
- $967.82
- Potential profit
- $876.36
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $207.73
- Potential payout
- $814.63
- Potential profit
- $606.9
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $90.3
- Potential payout
- $719.55
- Potential profit
- $629.25
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $10.43
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $76.61
- Potential payout
- $567.46
- Potential profit
- $490.85
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $11.61
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $286.42
- Potential payout
- $353.39
- Potential profit
- $66.97
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $186.42
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.08
- Potential profit
- $254.08
- User PnL
- -$31.76
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $187
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $163.1
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$26.43
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $99.19
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $62.1
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $49.19
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $127.46
- Potential payout
- $136.32
- Potential profit
- $8.86
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $94.41
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $123.99
- Potential profit
- $121.7
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$17.71
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $22.09
- Potential payout
- $106.95
- Potential profit
- $84.87
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.24
- Potential profit
- $62.24
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.19
- Potential profit
- $49.19
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.14
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.67
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.07
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.76
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.23
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $41.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Yes position
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with ≥2 dissents?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.71
Yes position
Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.7% 106.95 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.5% 160 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes 24.1% 62.24 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 84.8% 130.97 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 16.1% 123.99 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 81.8% 210 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Yes 12.5% 254.08 shares
- Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael JodarRafael Jodar 16% 62.5 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 74.2% 58.98 shares