Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $946.66
- Potential profit
- $946.66
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Akalian
0x4908afb749dabfe7b37a303a7a8a2cded9772792
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.02
- Realized PnL
- $337.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.43
- Potential profit
- $364.43
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.27
- Potential profit
- $240.27
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.93
- Potential profit
- $199.93
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.17
- Potential profit
- $132.17
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.78
- Potential profit
- $77.78
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.97
- Potential profit
- $74.97
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.51
- Potential profit
- $64.51
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.18
- Potential profit
- $46.18
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.1
- Potential profit
- $45.1
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.07
- Potential profit
- $45.07
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.44
- Potential profit
- $38.44
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.05
- Potential profit
- $36.05
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.05
- Potential profit
- $36.05
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $30.9
- Potential profit
- $24.87
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.92
- Potential profit
- $28.92
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.29
- Potential profit
- $27.29
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.58
- Potential profit
- $25.58
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.33
- Potential profit
- $25.33
- User PnL
- -$11.81
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.34
- Potential profit
- $23.34
- User PnL
- -$14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp 10% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp 54% 11.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp 42% 11.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown 32% 17.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown 29% 17.24 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 61% 11.48 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 10 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 38.8% 30.9 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 10.45 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 47% 14.89 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 59% 11.86 shares