No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $433.35
- Potential payout
- $444.46
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
danieal
0x490f4c5ac0ccac0ab39aabf6a955cb3317d4e8a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $627.27
- Realized PnL
- $267.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $148.28
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.38
N
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $45.65
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $5.35
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.9
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.88
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.76
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Ethereum all time high by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.5% 444.46 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No 90% 51 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 150 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 98.9% 628.95 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 626.7 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.4% 618 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.5% 616 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99.9% 611.94 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No 99.7% 611.82 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.5% 610.63 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 99.4% 608.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No 98.9% 606.49 shares